Tuesday, 14 Jul, 2026

Market Certainty Collapses: Polymarket Traders Bet Against Normalization in the Strait of Hormuz

As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East reach a critical inflection point, prediction markets have crystallized into a singular, grim outlook. On Polymarket, the world’s leading decentralized prediction platform, traders have effectively ruled out a return to "normal" shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz before the July 15 deadline. With a staggering 99.65% probability […]